Match Info

Liga A

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)


	Peñarol de Mar del Plata		Atlético Platense

	1	2
	1.42	2.7
	1.42	2.6
	1.45	2.55
	1.52	2.54
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.35)	2.52 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
63.1%

Atlético Platense
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Atlético Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Platense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Basualdo I.	23. Flor E.
73. Carreras X.	5. Franchela T.
4. Guerra L.	4. Jara A.
18. Perez A.	12. Morales S.
1. Thornton A.	20. Woods D.
Substitutes
35. Acuna R.	25. Burgos N.
22. Armand S.	3. Goncalves J.
15. Chiaraviglio N.	2. Guerrero J. M.
13. Cordoba G.	14. Pappalardi G.
33. Rossi G.	10. Smaniotti F.
2. Tolosa F.	7. Urbina A.
9. Vazquez F.	9. Woodard R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of away games.

Recently, Platense has had a series of home games.

In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1125:1051. (average 80.4:75.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 564:493. (average 80.6:70.4).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Penarol: 2.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000
13	Platense	3	1	2	235:258	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
21.02.26	Regatas Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	67:86 ✺
19.02.26	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:84 ✺
15.02.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Argentino	69:74 ✺
04.02.26	Ciclista Olímpico - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	74:87 ✺
02.02.26	Quimsa - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	89:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWL
- Atlético Platense Florida
Argentinian LNB
22.02.26	Boca Juniors - Atlético Platense	93:91 OT ✺
17.02.26	Atlético Platense - Argentino	81:94 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Platense - Ciclista Olímpico	82:68 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Platense - Obras Sanitarias	87:74 ✺
27.01.26	Atlético Platense - Quimsa	85:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
17.11.25	Atlético Platense - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:89
24.04.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense	75:79
11.10.24	Atlético Platense - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	72:75
19.04.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense	99:56
18.01.24	Atlético Platense - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	87:86
21.01.23	Atlético Platense - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	83:89
07.12.22	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense	73:70

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide