Match Info

Liga A

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)


	Peñarol de Mar del Plata		Boca Juniors

	1	2
	1.91	1.77	Watch
			Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.02	1.8
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.98)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
48.3%

Boca Juniors
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Basualdo I.	22. Caffaro F.
73. Carreras X.	3. Faggiano L.
13. Cordoba G.	99. Giorgetti Franco .
18. Perez A.	6. Scala S.
9. Vazquez F.	17. Vega S.
Substitutes
35. Acuna R.	19. Barreiro A.
15. Chiaraviglio N.	5. Cifuentes R.
4. Guerra L.	12. Donzino O.
10. Hoover N.	77. Drocezesky T.
33. Rossi G.	13. Ferguson R.
1. Thornton A.	4. Stenta N.
2. Tolosa F.	9. Torriani M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 0.

Recent performances by Peñarol have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.

Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1576:1653. (average 78.8:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 786:823. (average 78.6:82.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.77%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
19.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - La Unión Formosa	76:74 ✺
12.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Instituto Córdoba	85:83 ✺
08.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Quimsa	88:85 ✺
04.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Regatas Corrientes	80:84 ✺
28.09.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	97:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL
- Boca Juniors Basketball
Argentinian LNB
04.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Boca Juniors	70:82 ✺
31.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Boca Juniors	77:100 ✺
22.10.25	Obras Sanitarias - Boca Juniors	93:81 ✺
17.10.25	Boca Juniors - La Unión Formosa	80:77 OT ✺
13.10.25	Independiente de Oliva - Boca Juniors	82:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
21.03.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	64:72
25.10.24	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	83:81
29.04.24	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	87:83
15.10.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	72:92
28.04.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	110:114 OT
25.04.23	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	98:84
23.04.23	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	94:78

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