Match Info

NBB

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Marques Inchauspe R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2


	Pinheiros		Minas

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pinheiros
60%

Minas
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pinheiros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pinheiros than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pinheiros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pinheiros - Minas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Barbosa Y.	20. Arengo J.
27. Campos A.	55. Frazier T.
55. de Lima P.	23. Rafael Rachel
0. Gregate F.	15. Silva W.
1. Sloan D.	0. Williams J.
Substitutes
26. Betinho	5. Fischer R.
17. Boff B.	9. Fuzaro D.
4. dos Santos E.	1. McCree E.
5. Farabello F.	24. Paranhos A.
15. Maciel M.	10. Rodriguez L.
2. Pacheco C.	27. Yuri E.
33. Santos A.
Coaches
. de Conti G.	. Costa L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pinheiros won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Pinheiros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pinheiros is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pinheiros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1457:1596. (average 72.9:79.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pinheiros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 742:802. (average 74.2:80.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Pinheiros
Brazilian NBB
21.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Pinheiros	63:81 ✺
19.03.26	Flamengo - Pinheiros	80:75 ✺
16.03.26	Botafogo - Pinheiros	62:93 ✺
12.03.26	Pinheiros - Cruzeiro	101:79 ✺
07.03.26	Pinheiros - Basquete Cearense	83:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWW
- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
22.03.26	Osasco - Minas	66:78 ✺
19.03.26	Minas - Caxias do Sul	81:75 ✺
17.03.26	Minas - União Corinthians	92:82 ✺
Champions League Americas Basketball
12.03.26	Franca - Minas	103:91 ✺
11.03.26	Franca - Minas	101:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
31.01.26	Pinheiros - Minas	62:85
Brazilian NBB
21.11.25	Minas - Pinheiros	77:81
15.02.25	Minas - Pinheiros	70:59
29.10.24	Pinheiros - Minas	67:77
27.03.24	Minas - Pinheiros	81:51
16.12.23	Pinheiros - Minas	61:91
12.01.23	Minas - Pinheiros	74:67

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