Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim (Sao Paulo)


	Pinheiros		Paulistano

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.3	3.05
	1.29	3.64
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	3.15 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pinheiros
70.4%

Paulistano
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pinheiros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pinheiros than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pinheiros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paulistano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pinheiros - Paulistano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 160.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Barbosa Y.	33. Braga G.
55. de Lima P.	1. da Silva Brandao V.
0. Gregate F.	44. Hunter K.
33. Santos A.	10. Inacio L.
1. Sloan D.	23. Siewert L.
Substitutes
26. Betinho	12. Caio Mathias
17. Boff B.	41. Demetrio L.
27. Campos A.	11. Macedo
4. dos Santos E.	14. Pereira J.
15. Maciel M.	18. Pietro
2. Pacheco C.	8. Seixas H.
11. Penha C.	17. Tovar E.
Coaches
. de Conti G.	. Ferracciu D.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pinheiros won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Paulistano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pinheiros is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pinheiros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1455:1542. (average 72.8:77.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pinheiros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 825:853. (average 75:77.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Pinheiros
Brazilian NBB
26.04.26	Rio Claro - Pinheiros	88:94 OT ✺
24.04.26	Rio Claro - Pinheiros	79:88 ✺
21.04.26	Pinheiros - Rio Claro	95:80 ✺
16.04.26	Pinheiros - Pato	88:55 ✺
10.04.26	São José dos Campos - Pinheiros	76:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
29.04.26	Paulistano - Bauru	71:62 ✺
26.04.26	Bauru - Paulistano	88:75 ✺
24.04.26	Bauru - Paulistano	80:95 ✺
21.04.26	Paulistano - Bauru	80:77 ✺
18.04.26	Paulistano - Pato	92:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
19.02.26	Pinheiros - Paulistano	80:68
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.26	Pinheiros - Paulistano	114:108 OT
Brazilian NBB
06.11.25	Paulistano - Pinheiros	81:76
05.02.25	Pinheiros - Paulistano	61:69
14.10.24	Paulistano - Pinheiros	80:62
16.02.24	Paulistano - Pinheiros	80:51
09.11.23	Pinheiros - Paulistano	68:72

Pinheiros - Paulistano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide