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Current Win Probability
Piratas de Bogotá 32.7%
Cimarrones del Chocó 67.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piratas de Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piratas de Bogotá's form might have worsened.
Cimarrones del Chocó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cimarrones del Chocó's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piratas de Bogotá than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piratas de Bogotá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones del Chocó than the current prediction. (-18.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cimarrones del Chocó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Piratas de Bogotá - Cimarrones del Chocó Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Piratas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cimarrones will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:75
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
3. Gedeon A.
12. Bejarano A. (C)
23. Lopez B.
33. Duby
10. Quintero J.
2. Evans T.
21. Serna S.
1. McBride M.
8. Soler F. (C)
7. Mosquera Y.
Substitutes
11. Cortes S.
6. Arboleda M.
15. Hurtado J.
18. Bazan M.
2. Lans M.
27. Medina J.
5. Lizcano J.
3. Mena O.
24. Riascos M.
77. Moreno L.
14. Trocha M.
5. Mosquera W.
12. Velasquez A.
8. Ortiz M.
Coaches
. Tapias J.
. Mena A.
Preview
Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1576:1651. (average 78.8:82.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Piratas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 783:730. (average 87:81.1).
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Gedeon A. 
Bejarano A. (C) 
Duby 
McBride M. 
Medina J. 
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