Match Info

LBP - Apertura

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Salitre Coliseum (Bogotá)


	Piratas de Bogotá		Sabios de Manizales

	1	2
	1.47	2.39
	1.44	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.43	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.89)	2.48 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piratas de Bogotá
63.2%

Sabios de Manizales
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piratas de Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piratas de Bogotá's performance.

Sabios de Manizales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sabios de Manizales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piratas de Bogotá than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piratas de Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabios de Manizales than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabios de Manizales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Piratas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Piratas de Bogotá will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Gedeon A.	6. Blanco D.
23. Lopez B.	0. De La Cruz B.
10. Quintero J.	20. Duncan A.
21. Serna S.	5. Salazar J.
8. Soler F. (C)	7. Zapata J. (C)
Substitutes
11. Cortes S.	12. Ayala J.
15. Hurtado J.	53. Fernandez M.
2. Lans M.	10. Morales C.
5. Lizcano J.	14. Perez J.
69. Parra M.	23. Price S.
14. Trocha M.	4. Salazar A.
12. Velasquez A.
Coaches
. Tapias J.	. Osorio G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sabios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Piratas has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1331:1279. (average 83.2:79.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Piratas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 675:621. (average 84.4:77.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piratas de Bogotá
Colombian LBP Basketball
26.04.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	85:71 ✺
23.04.26	Cimarrones del Chocó - Piratas de Bogotá	83:72 ✺
22.04.26	Cimarrones del Chocó - Piratas de Bogotá	69:55 ✺
17.04.26	Motilones del Norte - Piratas de Bogotá	72:77 ✺
16.04.26	Motilones del Norte - Piratas de Bogotá	74:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Sabios de Manizales
Colombian LBP Basketball
26.04.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	85:71 ✺
19.04.26	Caribbean Storm Islands - Sabios de Manizales	89:96 ✺
18.04.26	Caribbean Storm Islands - Sabios de Manizales	80:96 ✺
15.04.26	Sabios de Manizales - Paisas de Medellín	68:73 ✺
14.04.26	Sabios de Manizales - Paisas de Medellín	68:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
26.04.26	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	85:71
15.06.25	Sabios de Manizales - Piratas de Bogotá	80:66
14.06.25	Sabios de Manizales - Piratas de Bogotá	80:76
11.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	85:95
10.06.25	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	70:91
09.11.24	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	78:67
08.11.24	Piratas de Bogotá - Sabios de Manizales	85:53

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