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Current Win Probability
Piratas de La Guaira 25.6%
Spartans de Caracas 74.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
68.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
62.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piratas de La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piratas de La Guaira's form might have worsened.
Spartans de Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartans de Caracas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piratas de La Guaira than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piratas de La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartans de Caracas than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartans de Caracas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Piratas de La Guaira - Spartans de Caracas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:85
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Bolivar M.
24. Carrera M. (C)
20. Bompart H.
21. Griffin M.
2. Colome Y.
25. Henriquez A.
0. Egbuta E.
3. Sojo J.
25. Hamilton J. (C)
1. Suero J.
Substitutes
7. Alcala E.
0. Almanza L.
19. Bastardo D.
8. Bautista R.
88. Centeno J.
22. Garcia C.
13. Diaz E.
20. Gutierrez B.
8. Echenique K.
77. Palacios N.
23. Hernandez E.
13. Rojas Rodriguez J.
5. Nino K.
2. Rudas M.
Coaches
. Garcia N.
. Berroteran M.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 3.
Piratas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Spartans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Piratas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Piratas has had a series of away games.
In this match, Spartans is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Piratas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 786:845. (average 65.5:70.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Piratas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 357:362. (average 59.5:60.3).
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Bolivar M. 
Griffin M. 
Colome Y. 
Almanza L. 
Garcia N. 
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