Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 6

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: PalaCarrara (Pistoia)


	Pistoia Basket		Reggiana

	1	2
	2.15	1.65
	2.36	1.6	Watch
	2.49	1.53
	2.35	1.6
	2.53	1.55
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.36	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoia Basket
40.2%

Reggiana
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pistoia Basket's form might have worsened.

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reggiana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Pistoia Basket - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pistoia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Anumba M.	0. Barford J.
0. Benetti G.	11. Faye M.
4. Childs E.	3. Gallo F.
00. Christon S.	13. Gombauld S.
2. Della Rosa G.	5. Winston C.
Substitutes
12. Boglio A.	55. Cheatham K.
77. Brajkovic L.	51. Chillo M.
14. Cemmi L.	25. Fainke E.
11. Forrest M.	44. Grant S.
8. Rowan M.	15. Smith J.
15. Saccaggi L.	16. Uglietti L.
25. Silins K.	31. Vitali M.
Coaches
. Calabria D.	. Priftis D.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoia won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pistoia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Reggiana will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Pistoia won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1359:1421 (average 75.5:78.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 825:761 (average 82.5:76.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.10.24	Varese - Pistoia Basket	102:95 ✺
20.10.24	Pistoia Basket - Venezia	64:77 ✺
13.10.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Pistoia Basket	65:66 ✺
06.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Pistoia Basket	84:68 ✺
29.09.24	Pistoia Basket - Napoli Basket	88:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW
- Reggiana BC
Champions League Basketball
29.10.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Reggiana	65:73 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.10.24	Reggiana - Basket Brescia	68:80 ✺
20.10.24	Trieste - Reggiana	85:97 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.10.24	Falco Szombathely - Reggiana	78:71 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.10.24	Reggiana - Treviso Basket	88:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
07.04.24	Pistoia Basket - Reggiana	83:82
12.11.23	Reggiana - Pistoia Basket	95:82
09.02.20	Pistoia Basket - Reggiana	86:79
20.10.19	Reggiana - Pistoia Basket	84:72
24.03.19	Pistoia Basket - Reggiana	76:80
24.11.18	Reggiana - Pistoia Basket	82:84
Club Friendly Basketball
25.09.18	Pistoia Basket - Reggiana	78:82

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