Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 12

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Ponferrada		Morón

	1	2
	1.66	1.96
	1.66	1.95
	1.71	1.98
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.02
	1.64	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.68)	2.01 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferrada
54.4%

Morón
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morón than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ponferrada - Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferrada won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ponferrada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 596:647. (average 66.2:71.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ponferrada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 282:305. (average 56.4:61).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Ciudad de Ponferrada
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
14.12.25	Logroño - Ponferrada	80:64 ✺
10.12.25	Ponferrada - Iraurgi SB	66:60 ✺
07.12.25	Jaen - Ponferrada	88:95 ✺
22.11.25	Ponferrada - Caja 87	88:78 ✺
16.11.25	Ponferrada - Valladolid	89:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- CB Morón
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
13.12.25	Morón - Leonesa	88:77 ✺
10.12.25	Valle de Egüés - Morón	49:81 ✺
06.12.25	Morón - Toledo	93:90 OT ✺
22.11.25	Cáceres CB - Morón	62:67 ✺
15.11.25	Morón - Córdoba	73:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
02.03.24	Morón - Ponferrada	80:70
18.11.23	Ponferrada - Morón	69:75
11.02.23	Ponferrada - Morón	76:80
06.04.22	Morón - Ponferrada	86:78
29.12.21	Ponferrada - Morón	56:72
30.03.21	Ponferrada - Morón	Canceled
10.10.20	Morón - Ponferrada	80:88

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