Match Info
Proliga - Winners stage - Round 5Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista (Portimão)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portimonense |
|
Maia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.46 |
|
2.35 |
|
 |
1.4 |
|
2.42 |
|
 |
1.53 |
|
2.32 |
 Watch |
 |
1.5 |
|
2.4 |
|
 |
1.49 |
|
2.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.44) |
|
2.39 ↑
(2.38) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 157.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portimonense
61.8% | Maia
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)Portimonense - Maia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
11.  Fall C.
| 12.  Caetano F.
|
1.  Fragoso D. (C)
| 13. Guerreiro J.
|
9.  Grewal J.
| 9.  Heinz W.
|
6. Mota J.
| 72. Lisboa T.
|
22.  Staine F.
| 10. Tomley M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
15. Bessa D.
| 34. Baptista L.
|
4. Marreiros R.
| 20. Ferreira R.
|
10. Palhau A.
| 4. Magalhaes M. (C)
|
0. Parrinha A.
| 54. Oliveira R.
|
2. Queiroz M.
| 30. Oliveira S.
|
13. Santinhos G.
| 17. Skoric G.
|
8. Sotta H.
| 5. Valgode A.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Almeida C.
| . Rodrigues N.
|
Preview
Portimonense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Maia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Maia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Portimonense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 144:146. (average 72:73).Including home match between the teams, Portimonense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:81.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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