Match Info
Proliga - Winners stage - Round 2Date: 31 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maia |
|
Illiabum |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
|
1.63 |
|
 |
2.23 |
|
1.54 |
|
 |
2.06 |
|
1.66 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
|
1.62 |
|
 |
2.14 |
|
1.64 |
|
 |
2.1 |
|
1.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(2.02) |
|
1.63 ↓
(1.64) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 150.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Illiabum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Maia - Illiabum Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:77 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
12.  Caetano F.
| 34.  Arikawe T.
|
13.  Guerreiro J.
| 10. Martinho J.
|
9.  Heinz W.
| 12.  Neto H.
|
72. Lisboa T.
| 30. Nunes F.
|
10.  Tomley M.
| 3. Rayquawndis M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
35. Carvalho A.
| 35. Alves D.
|
20. Ferreira R.
| 44. Caldeira S.
|
4. Magalhaes M. (C)
| 7. Costa P.
|
54. Oliveira R.
| 15. Cristo R.
|
30. Oliveira S.
| 9. Lopes P.
|
17. Skoric G.
| 99. Marques A.
|
5. Valgode A.
| 14. Sico M. (C)
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Rodrigues N.
| . Fechas C.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maia won 1.Maia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Illiabum's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.We predict that Maia will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 860:954. (average 71.7:79.5).Including home matches between the teams, Maia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 450:466. (average 75:77.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
|
|
|
|
| 5 | Illiabum | 2 | 1 | 1 | 142:136 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 11 | Maia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 105:96 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Proliga Basketball | | | 22.11.25 | Maia - Illiabum | 71:64 | | 04.10.25 | Illiabum - Maia | 87:81 | | 30.11.24 | Illiabum - Maia | 87:56 | | 05.10.24 | Maia - Illiabum | 65:78 | | 20.01.24 | Maia - Illiabum | 73:88 | | 18.11.23 | Illiabum - Maia | 63:81 | | 21.01.23 | Illiabum - Maia | 72:67 |
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