Match Info

Pro B - Round 34

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		ALM Évreux Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	1.76	1.9
	1.79	2.04
	1.79	1.93
	2.05	1.7
	1.77	1.95	Watch
	1.76	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.04)	1.87 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
50.2%

ALM Évreux Basket
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Provence Basket's performance.

ALM Évreux Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ALM Évreux Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Provence Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ALM Évreux Basket than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ALM Évreux Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Provence Basket - ALM Évreux Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: Provence Basket will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Provence Basket will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Bourhis L.	3. Angloma D.
85. Cisse J.	2. Day E.
0. Etou J.	16. Levarity A.
5. Marie-Anais W.	7. Ouedraogo Y.
35. Wojciechowski M. (C)	30. Rigot P.
Substitutes
8. Bouquet D.	17. Da Silva A.
31. Eyenga C.	25. Eboh T.
9. Galin M.	91. Niakate K.
17. Minar K.	9. Okafor G.
86. Ventura M.	0. Radnic D.
95. Vent V.	33. Tanghe A. (C)
Coaches
. Giuitta R.	. Namura M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Provence won 4.

Provence is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Évreux has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Provence won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1156:1115 (average 77.1:74.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Provence won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 557:502 (average 79.6:71.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French Elite 2
12.04.25	Provence Basket - Vichy-Clermont	79:94 ✺
08.04.25	ADA Blois - Provence Basket	103:58 ✺
04.04.25	Provence Basket - Chartres	67:65 ✺
29.03.25	Provence Basket - Orléans Loiret	60:77 ✺
21.03.25	Champagne Chalons-Reims - Provence Basket	82:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- ALM Évreux Basket
French Elite 2
11.04.25	ALM Évreux Basket - Orléans Loiret	73:76 ✺
08.04.25	Vichy-Clermont - ALM Évreux Basket	96:78 ✺
04.04.25	ALM Évreux Basket - Poitiers Basket 86	69:75 ✺
28.03.25	ADA Blois - ALM Évreux Basket	84:62 ✺
21.03.25	ALM Évreux Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	82:95 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
13.09.24	ALM Évreux Basket - Provence Basket	75:85
11.02.24	ALM Évreux Basket - Provence Basket	71:70
17.11.23	Provence Basket - ALM Évreux Basket	80:73
11.05.21	ALM Évreux Basket - Provence Basket	62:70
02.04.21	Provence Basket - ALM Évreux Basket	89:72
07.02.20	Provence Basket - ALM Évreux Basket	73:70
06.12.19	ALM Évreux Basket - Provence Basket	90:86

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