Match Info

Pro B - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Halle des Sports Parsemain (Fos-sur-Mer)


	Provence Basket		Poitiers Basket 86

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.37
	2.95	1.39
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.87)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Basket
32.6%

Poitiers Basket 86
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Poitiers Basket 86 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Basket than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poitiers Basket 86 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Provence Basket - Poitiers Basket 86 Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Poitiers Basket 86 will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Provence: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6, OT - Provence (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Provence Basket will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Provence (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Bouquet D.	44. Brena-Chemille A.
90. Bourhis L.	10. Eyango G.
31. Eyenga C.	0. Fibleuil I.
95. Vent V.	4. Prot I.
35. Wojciechowski M. (C)	27. Ramljak I.
Substitutes
85. Cisse J.	21. Forest Lo K.
0. Etou J.	5. Harley K. (C)
9. Galin M.	18. Jeanne J.
17. Minar K.	22. Leo D.
86. Ventura M.	12. Rupnik L.
	23. Vergez-Pascal J.
Coaches
. Giuitta R.	. Thornton-Jones A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence won 3.

Provence is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poitiers Basket 86 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Provence may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Poitiers Basket 86 is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Provence won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1118:1095. (average 79.9:78.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 495:485. (average 82.5:80.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fos Ouest Provence Basket
French Elite 2
25.04.25	Caen - Provence Basket	77:71 ✺
18.04.25	Provence Basket - ALM Évreux Basket	89:92 ✺
12.04.25	Provence Basket - Vichy-Clermont	79:94 ✺
08.04.25	ADA Blois - Provence Basket	103:58 ✺
04.04.25	Provence Basket - Chartres	67:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Poitiers Basket 86
French Elite 2
25.04.25	Poitiers Basket 86 - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	83:76 ✺
19.04.25	Poitiers Basket 86 - ADA Blois	79:97 ✺
11.04.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Poitiers Basket 86	93:78 ✺
08.04.25	Poitiers Basket 86 - Orléans Loiret	79:71 ✺
04.04.25	ALM Évreux Basket - Poitiers Basket 86	69:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
11.10.24	Poitiers Basket 86 - Provence Basket	80:64
22.03.24	Provence Basket - Poitiers Basket 86	96:98 OT
03.11.23	Poitiers Basket 86 - Provence Basket	72:78
19.03.21	Provence Basket - Poitiers Basket 86	90:89 OT (82:82)
19.12.20	Poitiers Basket 86 - Provence Basket	79:110
25.01.20	Poitiers Basket 86 - Provence Basket	79:84
13.04.18	Poitiers Basket 86 - Provence Basket	66:65

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