Match Info

NCAA

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Providence Friars		Villanova Wildcats

	1	2
	2.25	1.67
	2.12	1.65
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.66
	2.09	1.69
	2.25	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Providence Friars
43.5%

Villanova Wildcats
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Providence Friars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Villanova Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Providence Friars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanova Wildcats than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villanova Wildcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Providence Friars - Villanova Wildcats Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Providence (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 158.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.

Recent form of Providence has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villanova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Villanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1323:1422. (average 66.2:71.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 610:612. (average 67.8:68).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Providence Friars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Xavier Musketeers - Providence Friars	97:84 ✺
07.01.26	Providence Friars - Connecticut Huskies	98:103 OT ✺
03.01.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Providence Friars	71:77 ✺
19.12.25	Providence Friars - Seton Hall Pirates	67:72 ✺
13.12.25	Butler Bulldogs - Providence Friars	113:110 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLL
- Villanova Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Marquette Golden Eagles - Villanova Wildcats	73:76 ✺
07.01.26	Villanova Wildcats - Creighton Blue Jays	72:76 ✺
03.01.26	Butler Bulldogs - Villanova Wildcats	67:85 ✺
31.12.25	Villanova Wildcats - DePaul Blue Demons	71:66 ✺
23.12.25	Seton Hall Pirates - Villanova Wildcats	56:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.02.25	Providence Friars - Villanova Wildcats	75:62
17.01.25	Villanova Wildcats - Providence Friars	75:73
02.03.24	Providence Friars - Villanova Wildcats	60:71
04.02.24	Villanova Wildcats - Providence Friars	68:50
18.02.23	Providence Friars - Villanova Wildcats	85:72
29.01.23	Villanova Wildcats - Providence Friars	65:70
01.03.22	Villanova Wildcats - Providence Friars	76:74

Providence Friars - Villanova Wildcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide