Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA Europe Cup - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)


	Pärnu		Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński

	1	2
	2.9	1.34
	3.1	1.32
	3.21	1.34
	3.21	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.21	1.33
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.59)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu
30.1%

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu's form might have worsened.

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pärnu - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Aav S.	55. Cooper T.
3. Bradford C.	25. Gordon W.
10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.	86. Kikowski P.
16. Stankovic L.	11. Langovic A.
20. Valge R.	8. Muhammad L.
Substitutes
33. Allik W.	3. Hensler M.
14. Jarvi O.	7. Kowalczyk S.
5. Kalbus K.	21. Kruzynski D.
6. Malm P.	10. Martinez J.
21. Shevchenko V.	16. Slupinski D.
22. Suurorg O.	32. Yehonatan Y.
23. Tamm I.
Coaches
. Stepanovski V.	. Urlep A.

Preview

Pärnu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spójnia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Spójnia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spójnia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pärnu
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
19.10.24	Pärnu - Liepāja	81:91 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
16.10.24	Pärnu - CSM Oradea	72:84 ✺
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
12.10.24	Pärnu - Latvijas Universitāte	77:53 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
09.10.24	Argeș Pitești - Pärnu	67:65 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
05.09.24	Lietkabelis - Pärnu	90:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Basket Liga
20.10.24	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	79:73 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
16.10.24	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Argeș Pitești	65:62 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
13.10.24	Trefl Sopot - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	83:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
09.10.24	CSM Oradea - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	77:75 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
06.10.24	Czarni Słupsk - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	71:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

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