Match Info

WBBL Women

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Rigas 49. vidusskola (Riga)


	RSU Merks		TSA Tallinn

	1	2
	1.96	1.7
	2.06	1.7
	2.05	1.66
	2.13	1.64
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.79)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RSU Merks
45%

TSA Tallinn
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RSU Merks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RSU Merks's form might have worsened.

TSA Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TSA Tallinn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RSU Merks than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TSA Tallinn than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

RSU Merks - TSA Tallinn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Cirsa P.	0. Fomitsova R.
21. Mikelsone A.	20. Grunmann L.
33. Petersone S.	7. Kuttis E.
14. Septe L. (C)	11. Svilberg H. S.
15. Vevere I.	19. Vetesina L. (C)
Substitutes
18. Brence A.	21. Avramenko J.
9. Gabranova S.	2. Grunmann M.
8. Hauka K.	18. Kornieva K.
5. Steinharde U.	9. Lull H.
10. Trofimenko E.	5. Meier E.
	30. Tael L.
	22. Vannamik A.
Coaches
. Pliens M.	. Rico S.

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

TSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, RSU Merks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 110:101. (average 55:50.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSU Merks
WBBL
11.02.26	Panevėžys - RSU Merks	78:99 ✺
01.02.26	RSU Merks - LCC	58:76 ✺
17.01.26	TTT Riga - RSU Merks	103:60 ✺
10.01.26	RSU Merks - Kibirkštis	44:83 ✺
16.12.25	Šiaulių Šiauliai - RSU Merks	83:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- TSA Tallinn
WBBL
08.02.26	Panevėžys - TSA Tallinn	57:81 ✺
31.01.26	TSA Tallinn - Neptūnas Klaipeda	48:93
25.01.26	LCC - TSA Tallinn	79:77 ✺
24.01.26	Šiaulių Šiauliai - TSA Tallinn	87:75 ✺
17.01.26	TSA Tallinn - Alytaus Dzūkija	62:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WBBL
25.10.25	TSA Tallinn - RSU Merks	53:66
26.01.25	TSA Tallinn - RSU Merks	48:44

RSU Merks - TSA Tallinn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide