Match Info

Liga A

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Racing de Chivilcoy		Peñarol de Mar del Plata

	1	2
	1.8	1.87	Watch
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing de Chivilcoy
52.1%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing de Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Racing de Chivilcoy - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Racing de Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Penarol: 2.81% Racing de Chivilcoy: 1.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000
7	Racing de Chivilcoy	1	1	0	126:123	1.000

Last Results with these Odds

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing de Chivilcoy
Argentinian LNB
11.01.26	San Martín de Corrientes - Racing de Chivilcoy	86:90 ✺
09.01.26	Regatas Corrientes - Racing de Chivilcoy	94:57 ✺
06.01.26	Racing de Chivilcoy - Instituto Córdoba	65:76 ✺
29.12.25	Racing de Chivilcoy - Argentino	76:79 ✺
21.12.25	Instituto Córdoba - Racing de Chivilcoy	78:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLW
- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
12.01.26	Argentino - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	84:83 ✺
21.12.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Independiente de Oliva	76:87 ✺
13.12.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atenas	87:67 ✺
10.12.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ciclista Olímpico	82:76 ✺
07.12.25	Obras Sanitarias - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	95:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

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