Match Info

EUROPE: Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)


	Rapla		Ogre

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	1.75	1.95
	1.98	1.76
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	1.93	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapla
50.7%

Ogre
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapla than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Rapla - Ogre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Eelmae H. (C)	14. Berzins K.
4. Laane R.	21. Dargais K. (C)
1. McCreary J.	9. Kampuss G.
0. Mckissic B.	2. Rasnick M.
19. Niits T.	12. Zunda K.
Substitutes
3. Jakk R.	3. Apsitis K.
22. Kajupank I.	5. Avotins R.
32. Kilk K.	10. Mediss K.
7. Krumins E.	31. Poluiakhtov V.
8. Ruubel M.	33. Sipolins G.
33. Ruut M.	17. Zebergs R.
16. Stankovic L.
Coaches
. Nomm B.	. Svede U.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rapla won 3.

Rapla is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ogre is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ogre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rapla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 913:989 (average 76.1:82.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Rapla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 397:404 (average 79.4:80.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapla KK
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
12.03.25	Latvijas Universitāte - Rapla	70:91 ✺
08.03.25	Rapla - VEF Riga	71:86 ✺
04.03.25	Keila - Rapla	63:86 ✺
26.02.25	Rapla - Keila Basket	87:83 ✺
08.02.25	Rapla - Pärnu	113:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW
- BK Ogre
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
08.03.25	Ogre - Viimsi	93:80 ✺
05.03.25	TalTech - Ogre	72:70 ✺
01.03.25	Ogre - Liepāja	91:96 OT ✺
26.02.25	Pärnu - Ogre	57:92 ✺
12.02.25	Ogre - Valmiera Glass Via	87:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
18.12.24	Ogre - Rapla	71:57
21.02.24	Rapla - Ogre	72:61
29.09.23	Ogre - Rapla	75:77 OT
07.01.23	Ogre - Rapla	92:75
03.12.22	Rapla - Ogre	81:71
19.02.22	Rapla - Ogre	86:88 OT (75:75)
02.10.21	Ogre - Rapla	107:84

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