Match Info

NBL - Round 15

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Samokov (Samokov)

Referee: Metodiev I. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2


	Rilski Sportist		Balkan Botevgrad

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.76	1.88
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.67	2.05
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	2.02 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rilski Sportist
54.4%

Balkan Botevgrad
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rilski Sportist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Balkan Botevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rilski Sportist than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balkan Botevgrad than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Rilski Sportist - Balkan Botevgrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Arnett A.	0. Blackmon J.
35. Bachkov H.	10. Pagenkopf J.
7. Edwards M.	7. Pishtikov I.
3. Stokes K.	3. Robinson D.
23. Vasov M.	9. Simeonov A.
Substitutes
11. Dimitrov I.	6. Courtney II A.
12. Georgiev A.	34. Dimitrov D.
19. Hristov D. D.	33. Grozev N. (C)
1. Karamfilov D.	24. Ivanov A.
8. Kostov C. (C)	17. Mikov T.
77. Petrov K.	55. Nikolov T.
4. Thomas J.	22. Toshkov K.
Coaches
. Kirov L.	. Hristov V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rilski Sportist won 2.

Rilski Sportist is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Balkan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rilski Sportist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rilski Sportist won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1600:1530. (average 80:76.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rilski Sportist won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 801:706. (average 89:78.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Rilski Sportist	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Balkan	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rilski Sportist
Bulgarian NBL
29.12.25	Cherno More Port Varna - Rilski Sportist	79:73 ✺
23.12.25	Levski Sofia - Rilski Sportist	86:103 ✺
20.12.25	Minyor - Rilski Sportist	87:100 ✺
14.12.25	Rilski Sportist - Spartak Pleven	85:80 ✺
06.12.25	Botev Academic - Rilski Sportist	72:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWW
- BC Balkan Botevgrad
Bulgarian NBL
28.12.25	Balkan Botevgrad - Spartak Pleven	103:75 ✺
23.12.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Balkan Botevgrad	89:94 ✺
20.12.25	Botev Academic - Balkan Botevgrad	95:106 ✺
14.12.25	Botev 2012 - Balkan Botevgrad	65:88 ✺
08.12.25	Beroe - Balkan Botevgrad	59:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
26.10.25	Balkan Botevgrad - Rilski Sportist	75:70
Club Friendly Basketball
15.09.25	Rilski Sportist - Balkan Botevgrad	97:97
Bulgarian NBL
06.04.25	Rilski Sportist - Balkan Botevgrad	103:75
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
15.03.25	Balkan Botevgrad - Rilski Sportist	94:83
Bulgarian NBL
20.01.25	Rilski Sportist - Balkan Botevgrad	100:90
09.11.24	Balkan Botevgrad - Rilski Sportist	68:76
30.05.24	Balkan Botevgrad - Rilski Sportist	69:81

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