Match Info

SWITZERLAND: SB League Women - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Pala San Giorgio (Riva San Vitale)


	Riva Basket		Hélios VS

	1	2
	2.6	1.41
			Watch
	2.59	1.46
	2.6	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.81)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riva Basket
35.5%

Hélios VS
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riva Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Hélios VS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riva Basket than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hélios VS than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Riva Basket - Hélios VS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Montesanti F.	3. Bourhani Ganguia D.
0. Nelson A.	8. Bruchez V.
6. Picco S.	14. Gasser L. (C)
11. Veri G. (C)	7. Kane B.
1. Zapata G.	0. Turner J.
Substitutes
14. Equati S.	6. Corthay T.
7. Santi M.	11. Ozupekce Z.
	10. Walpen L.
	15. Wicky C.
Coaches
. Bassani F.	. Zbinden L.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Riva won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Riva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hélios is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Riva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 402:438 (average 67:73).

Including matches at home between the teams Riva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 100:114 (average 50:57).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riva Basket
Swiss SB League Basketball Women
14.03.25	Alte Kanti Aarau - Riva Basket	73:55 ✺
07.03.25	Riva Basket - Alte Kanti Aarau	49:51 ✺
01.03.25	Riva Basket - Pully	78:55 ✺
22.02.25	Hélios VS - Riva Basket	78:69 ✺
01.02.25	Riva Basket - Pully	69:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWLW
- Hélios VS Basket
Swiss SB League Basketball Women
14.03.25	Hélios VS - Pully	81:70 ✺
01.03.25	Alte Kanti Aarau - Hélios VS	71:73 ✺
22.02.25	Hélios VS - Riva Basket	78:69 ✺
01.02.25	Fribourg Basket - Hélios VS	81:57 ✺
28.01.25	Hélios VS - Genève	46:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss SB League Basketball Women
22.02.25	Hélios VS - Riva Basket	78:69
04.01.25	Hélios VS - Riva Basket	66:60
30.11.24	Riva Basket - Hélios VS	46:77
23.03.24	Hélios VS - Riva Basket	87:90 OT
09.12.23	Hélios VS - Riva Basket	93:83
18.11.23	Riva Basket - Hélios VS	54:37

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