Match Info

LFB Women - Play Out - Round 4

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Salle des Oudairies (La Roche-sur-Yon) 🌤️ ...


	Roche Vendée		Toulouse

	1	2
	3.05	1.3
	3	1.33
	3.31	1.27
	3.25	1.29
	3.41	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.44)	1.29 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roche Vendée
28.7%

Toulouse
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roche Vendée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roche Vendée's form might have worsened.

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roche Vendée than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roche Vendée, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Roche Vendée - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Roche Vendée will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Diame M.	20. Cisse M.
32. Igbokwe R.	3. Limouzin H. (C)
4. Johnson S.	21. Lindstrom J.
14. Loubens J.	32. Reimer T.
28. Ousfar S. (C)	23. San Antonio T.
Substitutes
27. Draghicioiu M.	31. Dia A.
0. Morisset C.	4. Klewinski A.
25. Neau P.	55. Marthi Toffolon J.
10. Sidibe P.	5. Tardy L.
Coaches
. Gautier D.	. Noguera X.

Preview

Roche Vendée is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Roche Vendée has had a series of home games.

In this match, Toulouse is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roche Vendée won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 364:370. (average 72.8:74).

Including home matches between the teams, Roche Vendée won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 155:150. (average 77.5:75).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Toulouse W	6	0	6	338:448	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roche Vendée BC
French LFB
29.04.26	Roche Vendée - Union Angers	72:84 ✺
11.04.26	Roche Vendée - Lyon	61:88 ✺
04.04.26	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	75:62 ✺
28.03.26	Roche Vendée - Avenir Basket Chartres	83:92 ✺
24.03.26	Roche Vendée - Flammes Carolo	70:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Toulouse Metropole Basket
French LFB
29.04.26	Lyon - Toulouse	81:48 ✺
11.04.26	Union Angers - Toulouse	60:67 ✺
04.04.26	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	75:62 ✺
28.03.26	Toulouse - Lattes Montpellier	66:80 ✺
24.03.26	Landerneau Bretagne - Toulouse	72:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
04.04.26	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	75:62
07.01.26	Roche Vendée - Toulouse	83:74
04.10.25	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	66:65
25.03.23	Roche Vendée - Toulouse	72:76
17.12.22	Toulouse - Roche Vendée	79:82

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