Match Info

RUSSIA: VTB UNITED LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 18 March 2024, Monday

Location: Dynamo Sports Palace (Moscow)


	Runa Moscow		Astana

	1	2
	1.15	5.03
	1.25	3.86
	1.25	4.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	4.31 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Runa Moscow
78%

Astana
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Runa Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Runa Moscow's performance.

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Runa Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Runa Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Runa Moscow - Astana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:74

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Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Runa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Runa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Runa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 173-157.

Including matches at home between the teams Runa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 80-67.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Runa Moscow
VTB United League
14.03.24	Runa Moscow - Avtodor Saratov	79:85 ✺
07.03.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Runa Moscow	87:82 ✺
03.03.24	Runa Moscow - Uralmash	74:102 ✺
Russian Cup Basketball
17.02.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Runa Moscow	93:65 ✺
VTB United League
13.02.24	Samara - Runa Moscow	85:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLLW
- BC Astana
VTB United League
13.03.24	Samara - Astana	84:63 ✺
09.03.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Astana	94:72 ✺
06.03.24	Astana - Minsk	76:70 ✺
03.03.24	Astana - Nizhny Novgorod	64:82 ✺
12.02.24	Astana - Avtodor Saratov	65:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VTB United League
28.01.24	Runa Moscow - Astana	80:67
30.11.23	Astana - Runa Moscow	90:93 OT

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