Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 14 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Avia Solutions Group Arena (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1


	Rytas		Bnei Herzliya

	1	2
	1.34	3.15	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.35	3.2
	1.34	3.1
	1.33	3.52
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	3.15 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rytas
70.1%

Bnei Herzliya
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rytas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rytas's performance.

Bnei Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bnei Herzliya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rytas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bnei Herzliya than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bnei Herzliya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Rytas - Bnei Herzliya Predictions

Users Predictions: Rytas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Preview

Rytas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bnei Herzliya is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bnei Herzliya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Rytas have a series of guest games.

In this match Rytas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rytas to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rytas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 85-90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Rytas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.12.22	Rytas - Lietkabelis	109:104 OT (90:90) ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
07.12.22	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Rytas	78:70 ✺
Champions League Basketball
30.11.22	Peristeri BC - Rytas	71:82 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.11.22	Šiauliai - Rytas	80:85 ✺
19.11.22	Gargždai - Rytas	81:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Bnei Herzliya BC
Israeli Basketball Super League
10.12.22	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bnei Herzliya	93:98 OT (85:85) ✺
04.12.22	Bnei Herzliya - Hapoel Eilat	81:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
29.11.22	Canarias - Bnei Herzliya	83:63 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
25.11.22	Ironi Nes Ziona - Bnei Herzliya	91:84 ✺
21.11.22	Bnei Herzliya - Hapoel Beer Sheva	75:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
18.10.22	Bnei Herzliya - Rytas	90:85

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