Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Kindarena (Rouen)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	LNB


	SPO Rouen Basket		Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez

	1	2
	2.03	1.65
	2	1.82
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	1.99	1.71
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.95)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPO Rouen Basket
45.5%

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPO Rouen Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPO Rouen Basket than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPO Rouen Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SPO Rouen Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Bouba A.	13. Clark M.
5. Croft T.	45. Cornely T.
15. Gourari K. (C)	20. Ndiaye S.
6. Kensmil G.	0. Nze B.
3. Malonga R.	9. Pinault B. (C)
Substitutes
10. Bigote V.	6. Mballa J.
33. Choua M.	4. Milanese F.
44. Davis D.	12. Mkamba J.
4. Djedje A.	. Racine A.
76. Ndugba I.	22. Raharimanantoanina S.
23. Pharose N.	8. Riskwait T.
	11. Wibaut F.
Coaches
. Delorme S.	. Hay M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 4.

Recent form of Rouen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pau-Orthez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 676:700. (average 75.1:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rouen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 327:305. (average 81.8:76.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
17	Rouen	3	1	2	256:270	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPO Rouen Basket
French Elite 2
16.01.26	Aix Maurienne - SPO Rouen Basket	92:75 ✺
09.01.26	SPO Rouen Basket - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	82:99 ✺
27.12.25	Saint Chamond - SPO Rouen Basket	86:89 ✺
23.12.25	SPO Rouen Basket - Vichy-Clermont	83:90 ✺
19.12.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - SPO Rouen Basket	86:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLL
- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French Elite 2
16.01.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Chorale Roanne	88:93 ✺
09.01.26	ASC Denain-Voltaire PH - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	98:94 ✺
27.12.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Stade Rochelais	81:82 ✺
23.12.25	Antibes - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	87:90 OT ✺
19.12.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - SPO Rouen Basket	86:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
19.12.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - SPO Rouen Basket	86:72
11.03.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - SPO Rouen Basket	71:74
11.10.24	SPO Rouen Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	79:75
26.03.24	SPO Rouen Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	91:88
27.12.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - SPO Rouen Basket	70:74
French LNB
06.05.16	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - SPO Rouen Basket	85:74
13.11.15	SPO Rouen Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	69:73

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