The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacramento Kings 19.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 80.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
73.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
72.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sacramento Kings's form might have worsened.
Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oklahoma City Thunder's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Kings, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oklahoma City Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
0%
30%
Sacramento Kings - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacramento (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Oklahoma City (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 112:123
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. LaVine Z.
25. Mitchell A.
10. DeRozan D.
7. Holmgren C.
19. Eubanks D.
55. Hartenstein I.
18. Westbrook R.
22. Wallace C.
17. Schroder D.
2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
Coaches
. Christie D.
. Daigneault M.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 0.
In recent matches, Sacramento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oklahoma City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Oklahoma City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sacramento has had a series of away games.
In this match, Oklahoma City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Sacramento: LaVine Z.
(Back Injury)
Murray K.
(Finger Injury)
Sabonis D.
(Ribs Injury)
There will not play in Oklahoma City: Caruso A.
(Rest)
Dort L.
(Upper Back Injury)
Holmgren C.
(Lower Back Injury)
Sorber T.
(Knee Injury)
Topic N.
(Groin Injury)
Williams J.
(Wrist Injury)
Williams K.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2244:2237. (average 112.2:111.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1043:1003. (average 115.9:111.4).