Match Info

B.League

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Saga Arena (Saga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 3


	Saga Ballooners		Diamond Dolphins Nagoya

	1	2
	2.15	1.63
	2.2	1.55	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	1.94	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.28)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saga Ballooners
45.9%

Diamond Dolphins Nagoya
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saga Ballooners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saga Ballooners's performance.

Diamond Dolphins Nagoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diamond Dolphins Nagoya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saga Ballooners than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diamond Dolphins Nagoya than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Saga Ballooners - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dudzinski D.	11. Henry A.
2. Garcia R.	3. Kato T.
55. Harrellson J.	5. Murphy I.
25. Sumida T.	34. Richardson K.
18. Uchio S.	2. Saito T.
Substitutes
13. Abe R.	8. Harimoto T.
22. Groves T.	23. Holtz J.
7. Hashimoto K.	30. Imamura K. (C)
34. Inoue R. (C)	7. Imanishi Y.
11. Takedomi F.	12. Nakahigashi T.
21. Tomiyama T.	4. Ozawa H.
5. Yamashita Y.	14. Sato T.
	17. Wakano E.
Coaches
. Miyanaga Y.	. Shawn D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saga won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Diamond Dolphins will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Saga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 512:572. (average 73.1:81.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Saga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 145:161. (average 72.5:80.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.22%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saga Ballooners
Japan B League Premier
19.04.26	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	68:103 ✺
18.04.26	Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	74:83 ✺
15.04.26	Saga Ballooners - SeaHorses Mikawa	77:83 ✺
12.04.26	Saga Ballooners - Kyoto Hannaryz	83:87 ✺
11.04.26	Saga Ballooners - Kyoto Hannaryz	90:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Mitsubishi Diamond Dolphins Nagoya
Japan B League Premier
19.04.26	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Shiga Lakestars	84:86 ✺
18.04.26	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Shiga Lakestars	106:95 ✺
15.04.26	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa	80:76 ✺
12.04.26	SeaHorses Mikawa - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	91:61 ✺
11.04.26	SeaHorses Mikawa - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	79:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
24.12.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	75:86
02.03.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	81:65
28.02.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	79:62
06.05.24	Saga Ballooners - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	68:80
05.05.24	Saga Ballooners - Diamond Dolphins Nagoya	77:81
07.04.24	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	88:79
06.04.24	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	88:75

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