Match Info

B.League

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Saga Arena (Saga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 3


	Saga Ballooners		Gunma Crane Thunders

	1	2
	2.12	1.65
	2.1	1.65
	2	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.67
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saga Ballooners
44.8%

Gunma Crane Thunders
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saga Ballooners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gunma Crane Thunders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saga Ballooners than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gunma Crane Thunders than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saga Ballooners will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Dudzinski D.	8. Blackshear K.
2. Garcia R.	15. Edu A.
55. Harrellson J.	0. Fujii Y.
25. Sumida T.	29. Hosokawa K.
18. Uchio S.	9. Tsuji N. (C)
Substitutes
13. Abe R.	16. Asano K.
22. Groves T.	25. Lawson K.
7. Hashimoto K.	14. Makoto S.
34. Inoue R. (C)	6. Nakamura T.
20. Kishida A.	55. Taniguchi D.
8. Todoroki R.	30. Woodbury T.
21. Tomiyama T.
Coaches
. Miyanaga Y.	. Milling K.

Preview

Saga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gunma has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Saga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gunma could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Saga will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 365:406. (average 73:81.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Saga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 221:236. (average 73.7:78.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gunma Crane Thunders - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saga Ballooners
Japan B League Premier
03.01.26	Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders	84:78 ✺
27.12.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Saga Ballooners	84:91 ✺
26.12.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Saga Ballooners	73:82 ✺
24.12.25	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - Saga Ballooners	75:86 ✺
21.12.25	Saga Ballooners - Yokohama B-Corsairs	90:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWW
- Gunma Crane Thunders
Japan B League Premier
03.01.26	Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders	84:78 ✺
28.12.25	Gunma Crane Thunders - SAN-EN NeoPhoenix	91:71 ✺
27.12.25	Gunma Crane Thunders - SAN-EN NeoPhoenix	96:69 ✺
24.12.25	Kyoto Hannaryz - Gunma Crane Thunders	67:64 ✺
21.12.25	Gunma Crane Thunders - Hiroshima Dragonflies	76:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
03.01.26	Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders	84:78
08.12.24	Gunma Crane Thunders - Saga Ballooners	86:74
07.12.24	Gunma Crane Thunders - Saga Ballooners	84:70
04.02.24	Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders	69:79
03.02.24	Saga Ballooners - Gunma Crane Thunders	68:79

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