Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Pala Galli (San Giovanni Valdarno)


	San Giovanni Valdarno		Matelica

	1	2
	4.1	1.18
	3.65	1.23	Watch
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (1.73)	1.22 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 128.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Giovanni Valdarno
24.3%

Matelica
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni Valdarno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Giovanni Valdarno's form might have worsened.

Matelica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matelica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni Valdarno than the current prediction. (+24.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Giovanni Valdarno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matelica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Giovanni Valdarno - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 60:69

#ad

Lineups


15. Bernardi I.	7. Bacchini C.
13. Celani N.	11. Battellini A.
45. De Cassan F.	16. Bonvecchio I.
16. Diakhoumpa D.	5. Cabrini A.
8. Lazzaro M. (C)	9. Chiovato F.
10. Merisio F.	12. Gramaccioni B. (C)
21. Mosetti M.	24. Lizzi E.
22. Ngamene Takougang K. L.	30. Offor G.
25. Ovner E.	35. Pilakouta E.
30. Solazzo L.	3. Trzeciak O.
	14. Zamparini A.
Coaches
. Franchini A.	. Matassini A.

Preview

Valdarno leads series 1-0. Second leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Matelica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Matelica is seen as the favorite.

We predict that SG Valdarno will win today's game, with odds of 3.17.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SG Valdarno won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 198:177. (average 66:59).

Including home match between the teams, SG Valdarno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 78:62.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Matelica W	1	0	1	60:72	0
11	Valdarno W	1	0	1	46:62	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Giovanni Valdarno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
25.04.26	Matelica - San Giovanni Valdarno	51:54 ✺
18.04.26	San Giovanni Valdarno - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	67:60 ✺
15.04.26	Virtus Eirene Ragusa - San Giovanni Valdarno	65:58 ✺
11.04.26	San Giovanni Valdarno - Virtus Eirene Ragusa	74:73 ✺
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
03.04.26	Giussano - San Giovanni Valdarno	77:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL
- Basket Matelica
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
25.04.26	Matelica - San Giovanni Valdarno	51:54 ✺
18.04.26	Matelica - Virtus Cagliari	55:43 ✺
15.04.26	Virtus Cagliari - Matelica	47:58 ✺
11.04.26	Matelica - Virtus Cagliari	52:68 ✺
03.04.26	Matelica - Faenza	53:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
25.04.26	Matelica - San Giovanni Valdarno	51:54
Italian Serie A2 South Basketball Women
23.04.22	Matelica - San Giovanni Valdarno	64:66
26.01.22	San Giovanni Valdarno - Matelica	78:62

Upcoming Matches