Match Info

Liga A

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Polideportivo Roberto Pando (Buenos Aires)


	San Lorenzo de Almagro		Peñarol de Mar del Plata

	1	2
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	2.32	1.55
	2.36	1.59
	2.04	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.88)	1.58 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo de Almagro
40.8%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo de Almagro's form might have worsened.

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peñarol de Mar del Plata's recent form is better than expected.

San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - San Lorenzo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Bednarek I.	3. Basualdo I.
17. Cardo C.	73. Carreras X.
4. Perez L.	99. Okafor A.
12. Rutenberg F.	18. Perez A.
15. Safar S.	9. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
3. Alonso A.	35. Acuna R.
11. Barrios L.	19. Aman G.
8. Latorre L.	11. Chapero M.
35. Nally J.	15. Chiaraviglio N.
5. Nesci V.	4. Guerra L.
9. Sanchez A.	33. Rossi G. L.
10. Villarroel I.	2. Tolosa F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1701:1545. (average 85.1:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 850:775. (average 85:77.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo de Almagro Basketball
Argentinian LNB
20.05.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste	72:85 ✺
16.05.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Obras Sanitarias	88:95 ✺
10.05.25	Argentino - San Lorenzo de Almagro	60:77 ✺
05.05.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Independiente de Oliva	94:77 ✺
29.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - San Lorenzo de Almagro	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
19.05.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Riachuelo de La Rioja	89:75 ✺
09.05.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Zárate	110:81 ✺
07.05.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Independiente de Oliva	99:74 ✺
04.05.25	Oberá TC - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	86:71 ✺
02.05.25	Unión Santa Fe - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
05.04.25	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	76:63
09.01.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	80:77
22.04.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	80:75
15.11.23	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:65
17.01.23	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	75:99
20.10.22	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	79:70
14.02.22	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	73:76

San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide