Match Info

Date: 8 March 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	San Martín de Corrientes		Deportivo Libertad

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.3
	1.28	3.35
	1.27	3.45
	1.29	3.71
	1.3	3.4
	1.31	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	3.43 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Corrientes
72.7%

Deportivo Libertad
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Corrientes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Deportivo Libertad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Corrientes than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Corrientes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Libertad than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Libertad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Libertad will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:70

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

San Martín is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Libertad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match San Martín is a favorite.

Recent matches Libertad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 24 head-to-head matches San Martín won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1838-1762.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 961-854.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club San Martín de Corrientes
Argentinian LNB
06.03.21	San Martín de Corrientes - Oberá TC	95:75 ✺
Argentinian Copa Islas Malvinas
27.02.21	San Martín de Corrientes - Quimsa	66:72 ✺
26.02.21	San Martín de Corrientes - Instituto Córdoba	80:78 OT (70:70) ✺
25.02.21	Obras Sanitarias - San Martín de Corrientes	56:67 ✺
Argentinian LNB
14.02.21	San Martín de Corrientes - Argentino	68:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW
- Deportivo Libertad
Argentinian LNB
06.03.21	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Deportivo Libertad	68:72 ✺
18.02.21	Deportivo Libertad - Ciclista Olímpico	88:92 ✺
15.02.21	Deportivo Libertad - La Unión Formosa	84:67 ✺
14.02.21	Deportivo Libertad - Boca Juniors	66:81 ✺
12.02.21	Deportivo Libertad - San Lorenzo de Almagro	66:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
13.11.20	San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad	82:76
09.01.20	San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad	89:74
20.12.19	Deportivo Libertad - San Martín de Corrientes	75:72
05.05.19	San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad	100:79
11.12.18	Deportivo Libertad - San Martín de Corrientes	83:60
06.04.17	San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad	77:65
10.02.17	Deportivo Libertad - San Martín de Corrientes	72:80

San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad