Match Info

Serie A1 Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Palazzetto dello sport (San Martino di Lupari)


	San Martino Di Lupari		Castelnuovo Scrivia

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.43	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.42	2.57	Watch
	1.43	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.54 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martino Di Lupari
63.7%

Castelnuovo Scrivia
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martino Di Lupari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Castelnuovo Scrivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martino Di Lupari than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelnuovo Scrivia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

San Martino Di Lupari - Castelnuovo Scrivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:65

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Bickle C.	30. Attura B. (C)
5. Cvijanovic T.	10. Leonardi F.
2. D'Alie R. (C)	33. Melchiori F.
32. Robinson A.	41. Penna E.
1. Simon A.	7. Premasunac N.
Substitutes
26. Aurora D.	13. Arado A.
6. Cedolini G.	0. Dotto C.
10. Del Pero B.	4. Fontaine N.
9. Gilli C.	44. Gatti V.
12. Piatti C.	3. Marangoni S.
11. Pilatone M.	5. Milani A.
15. Reschiglian G.
Coaches
. Piazza G.	. Cutugno O.

Preview

2nd leg. Scrivia leads series 1-0.

San Martino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Scrivia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Martino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Scrivia have a series of home games.

San Martino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches San Martino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 188:203 (average 62.7:67.7).

Including matches at home between the teams San Martino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 57:63

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martino Di Lupari
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
02.04.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - San Martino Di Lupari	71:65 ✺
27.03.25	Alpo Villafranca - San Martino Di Lupari	72:82 ✺
23.03.25	San Martino Di Lupari - Brixia	73:54 ✺
16.03.25	Faenza - San Martino Di Lupari	65:83 ✺
08.03.25	San Martino Di Lupari - Battipaglia	56:51 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- BC Castelnuovo Scrivia
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
02.04.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - San Martino Di Lupari	71:65 ✺
27.03.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - Faenza	64:74 ✺
15.03.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - Alpo Villafranca	92:62 ✺
09.03.25	Famila Schio - Castelnuovo Scrivia	88:69 ✺
01.03.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - San Martino Di Lupari	69:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
02.04.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - San Martino Di Lupari	71:65
01.03.25	Castelnuovo Scrivia - San Martino Di Lupari	69:66
17.11.24	San Martino Di Lupari - Castelnuovo Scrivia	57:63

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