The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Corrientes 72.7%
Deportivo Libertad 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.8%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Corrientes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Deportivo Libertad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Corrientes than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Corrientes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Libertad than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Libertad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
San Martín de Corrientes - Deportivo Libertad Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Libertad will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:70
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Preview
Neutral location. No spectators.
San Martín is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Libertad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Libertad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match San Martín is a favorite.
Recent matches Libertad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Last 24 head-to-head matches San Martín won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1838-1762.
Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 961-854.
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