Match Info

ITALY: Serie A1 Women - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Palestra Giordani (Milan)


	Sanga Milano		Brixia

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.65	1.39
	2.81	1.43
	2.81	1.43
	2.62	1.44
	2.88	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.34)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sanga Milano
34%

Brixia
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanga Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanga Milano's form might have worsened.

Brixia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brixia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanga Milano than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanga Milano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brixia than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brixia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sanga Milano - Brixia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:74

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dornstauder Q.	23. Garrick M.
11. Penz E.	16. Louka V.
0. Toffali S.	24. Skoric M. (C)
12. Turmel A.	77. Tassinari E.
8. Vintsilaiou A.	7. Zanardi C.
Substitutes
7. Beretta A.	22. Boothe S.
17. Bonomi B.	3. Bordiga M.
79. Finessi G.	21. Galli E.
5. Guarneri S. (C)	5. Landi A.
77. Madonna T.	11. Pinardi M.
78. Serralunga L.	6. Tomasoni A.
23. Tulonen H.	9. Tomasoni R.
Coaches
. Pinotti F.	. Cesaro S.

Preview

2nd leg. Brixia leads series 1-0.

Sanga Milano has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brixia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brixia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sanga Milano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 277-306.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanga Milano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 146-152.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanga Milano
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
27.04.24	Brixia - Sanga Milano	86:77 ✺
20.04.24	Sanga Milano - Famila Schio	72:87 ✺
14.04.24	Virtus Eirene Ragusa - Sanga Milano	73:54 ✺
06.04.24	Sanga Milano - San Giovanni	71:72 ✺
24.03.24	Sanga Milano - OBG Roma	61:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Brixia Basket Brescia
Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
27.04.24	Brixia - Sanga Milano	86:77 ✺
20.04.24	Brixia - San Giovanni	61:64 OT ✺
14.04.24	OBG Roma - Brixia	76:73 ✺
07.04.24	Brixia - Campobasso	67:72 ✺
30.03.24	Dinamo Sassari - Brixia	81:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A1 Basketball Women
27.04.24	Brixia - Sanga Milano	86:77
17.02.24	Brixia - Sanga Milano	68:54
29.10.23	Sanga Milano - Brixia	69:79
Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
18.12.21	Sanga Milano - Brixia	77:73

Upcoming Matches