Match Info

LFB Women - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Municipal Paulo Pinto (São João da Madeira)


	Sanjoanense		Galitos

	1	2
	1.42	2.55
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.43	2.62
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.77)	2.54 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanjoanense
63.7%

Galitos
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanjoanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanjoanense's performance.

Galitos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galitos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanjoanense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galitos than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galitos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sanjoanense - Galitos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Arieiro J.	5. Canastra J.
13. Bimpa S.	4. Domingues D. (C)
21. Ju Souza	22. Koita S.
22. Miller E.	7. Neto M.
30. Petrus E.	8. Nufer L.
Substitutes
8. Anacleto C. (C)	35. Finau M.
15. Cavadas A.	9. Guerreiro I.
9. Costa M.	2. Khalfani A.
10. Leitao M.	11. Marques A.
5. Leite M.	32. Muge M.
11. Ressurreicao B.	23. Okhremenko A.
	10. Picado M.
Coaches
. Peres I.	. Araujo L.

Preview

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Sanjoanense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 277:317. (average 69.3:79.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 145:155. (average 72.5:77.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Sanjoanense W	1	1	0	74:72	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Sanjoanense Basketball Women
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - União Sportiva	69:85 ✺
Portuguese LFB
04.01.26	União Sportiva - Sanjoanense	73:64 ✺
28.12.25	Sanjoanense - Benfica	59:101 ✺
20.12.25	Esgueira - Sanjoanense	91:89 ✺
14.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Sanjoanense	69:67 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Galitos Women
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
10.01.26	Galitos - Barcelos	51:74 ✺
Portuguese LFB
04.01.26	Coimbrões - Galitos	76:57 ✺
28.12.25	Barcelos - Galitos	71:69 ✺
20.12.25	Galitos - GDESSA Barreiro	59:60 ✺
14.12.25	União Sportiva - Galitos	78:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
25.10.25	Galitos - Sanjoanense	82:72
15.03.25	Galitos - Sanjoanense	80:60
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
20.12.24	Sanjoanense - Galitos	73:76
Portuguese LFB
07.12.24	Sanjoanense - Galitos	72:79

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