Match Info

B.League

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sky Hall Toyota (Toyota City)


	SeaHorses Mikawa		Nagasaki Velca

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.32	Watch
	3.24	1.33
	3.04	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.42)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SeaHorses Mikawa
31.9%

Nagasaki Velca
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SeaHorses Mikawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SeaHorses Mikawa's form might have worsened.

Nagasaki Velca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagasaki Velca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SeaHorses Mikawa than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SeaHorses Mikawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SeaHorses Mikawa - Nagasaki Velca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SeaHorses Mikawa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Gardner D.	18. Baba Y.
10. Layman J.	7. Brantley J.
7. Nagano S.	11. Kumagai K.
19. Nishida Y.	5. Lee Hyun-Jung
13. Suda Y. (C)	25. Mitchell A.
Substitutes
27. Ishii K.	13. Hoshikawa K.
1. Kennedy T.	14. Johnson S.
11. Kubota Y.	4. Karimata M. (C)
16. Nishida K.	99. Kawamata K.
32. Schafer A. K.	1. Matsumoto K.
18. Sumino R.	6. Morita Y.
9. Taira T.	17. Yamaguchi H.
30. White A.
Coaches
. Richman R.	. Maor M.

Preview

SeaHorses Mikawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nagasaki is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, SeaHorses Mikawa has had a series of away games.

Nagasaki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SeaHorses Mikawa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 424:439. (average 84.8:87.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SeaHorses Mikawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 169:169. (average 84.5:84.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SeaHorses Mikawa
Japan B League Premier
24.01.26	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - SeaHorses Mikawa	77:62 ✺
23.01.26	Diamond Dolphins Nagoya - SeaHorses Mikawa	83:78 ✺
04.01.26	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - SeaHorses Mikawa	65:75 ✺
03.01.26	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - SeaHorses Mikawa	86:65 ✺
28.12.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Toyota Alvark	79:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLL
- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
25.01.26	SAN-EN NeoPhoenix - Nagasaki Velca	95:87 ✺
24.01.26	SAN-EN NeoPhoenix - Nagasaki Velca	70:95 ✺
04.01.26	Nagasaki Velca - Yokohama B-Corsairs	91:78 ✺
03.01.26	Nagasaki Velca - Yokohama B-Corsairs	100:85 ✺
28.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Chiba Jets	93:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
15.10.25	Nagasaki Velca - SeaHorses Mikawa	107:82
13.04.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Nagasaki Velca	83:78
12.04.25	SeaHorses Mikawa - Nagasaki Velca	86:91 OT
29.10.23	Nagasaki Velca - SeaHorses Mikawa	81:76
28.10.23	Nagasaki Velca - SeaHorses Mikawa	82:97

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