Match Info

KBL

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Jamsil Arena (Seoul)


	Seoul Samsung Thunders		Ulsan Mobis Phoebus

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.4
	2.87	1.43
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.1)	1.42 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seoul Samsung Thunders
33.9%

Ulsan Mobis Phoebus
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seoul Samsung Thunders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seoul Samsung Thunders's form might have worsened.

Ulsan Mobis Phoebus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulsan Mobis Phoebus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seoul Samsung Thunders than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seoul Samsung Thunders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan Mobis Phoebus than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulsan Mobis Phoebus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Seoul Samsung Thunders - Ulsan Mobis Phoebus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seoul Thunders will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ulsan Phoebus will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul Thunders: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Seoul Thunders (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:85

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Lineups


8. Choi Hyun-Min	9. Cho H.
7. Choi Seong-Mo	35. Choi Kang Min
18. Gutang J.	22. Egbunu J.
5. Han Ho-Bin	8. Figueroa J.
35. Kanter K.	12. Ham Ji-Hoon
19. Lee Geun-Hwi	2. Hammonds R.
11. Lee Gwan-Hee	1. Jeong Jun-Won
23. Lee Kyu-Tae	15. Kim Kun Ha
2. Lee Weon-Seok	19. Lee D.
12. Lim D.	33. Lee S.
3. Park Seung-Jae	3. Park M.
24. Shin Dong-Hyuk	7. Seo Myeong-Jin
Coaches
. Kim H.	. Yang Dong-Geun

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul Thunders won 1.

Seoul Thunders is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ulsan Phoebus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ulsan Phoebus could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul Thunders won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1562:1698. (average 78.1:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Seoul Thunders won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 714:759. (average 79.3:84.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Seoul Thunders	2	2	0	147:134	1.000
9	Mobis Phoebus	2	0	2	172:185	0.000

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.76%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seoul Samsung Thunders
KBL
21.03.26	Jeonju KCC Egis - Seoul Samsung Thunders	100:81 ✺
15.03.26	Goyang Sono Skygunners - Seoul Samsung Thunders	98:75 ✺
13.03.26	Changwon LG Sakers - Seoul Samsung Thunders	97:88 ✺
09.03.26	Seoul Samsung Thunders - Anyang	79:84 ✺
07.03.26	Seoul Samsung Thunders - Jeonju KCC Egis	79:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ulsan Mobis Phoebus
KBL
21.03.26	Goyang Sono Skygunners - Ulsan Mobis Phoebus	90:86 OT ✺
15.03.26	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Jeonju KCC Egis	85:74 ✺
14.03.26	Daegu KOGAS - Ulsan Mobis Phoebus	84:74 ✺
10.03.26	Jeonju KCC Egis - Ulsan Mobis Phoebus	90:89 ✺
08.03.26	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Suwon KT Sonicboom	95:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

KBL
12.02.26	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Seoul Samsung Thunders	87:77
13.01.26	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Seoul Samsung Thunders	75:74
13.12.25	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Seoul Samsung Thunders	61:84
03.11.25	Seoul Samsung Thunders - Ulsan Mobis Phoebus	79:92
23.10.25	Seoul Samsung Thunders - Ulsan Mobis Phoebus	76:80
06.04.25	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Seoul Samsung Thunders	88:78
11.03.25	Ulsan Mobis Phoebus - Seoul Samsung Thunders	63:61

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