Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Shenzhen Dayun Arena (Shenzhen)


	Shenzhen Leopards		Zhejiang Golden Bulls

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.26	3.61
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.6)	3.45 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Leopards
72.9%

Zhejiang Golden Bulls
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Leopards's performance.

Zhejiang Golden Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhejiang Golden Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Leopards than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Leopards that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhejiang Golden Bulls than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhejiang Golden Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Golden Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shenzhen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zhejiang will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Baji I.	7. Andrews A.
3. He Xining	6. Cheng Shuaipeng
2. Lu Pengyu	41. Johnson D.
77. Smith T.	25. Wang Zilu
33. Wang Haoran	8. Wenbo L.
Substitutes
23. Christopher J.	13. Hongshuo Zhang
24. Johnson A.	30. Jones D.
21. Li Muhao	44. Randolph B.
8. Rong Zifeng	33. Wu Qian
5. Sun Haoqin	12. Yishan Z.
1. Wu Zihan	24. Yuezhou Li
9. Zhou Peng	10. Zeyi Liu
Coaches
. Yonggang Z.	. Falekas A.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 3.

Shenzhen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zhejiang is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shenzhen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shenzhen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1917:1988. (average 95.9:99.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Shenzhen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 892:876. (average 99.1:97.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Leopards
CBA
24.04.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shenzhen Leopards	86:99 ✺
19.04.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	95:103 ✺
17.04.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Ningbo Rockets	106:96 ✺
15.04.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	96:104 ✺
13.04.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Shenzhen Leopards	113:126 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW
- Zhejiang Golden Bulls
CBA
02.05.26	Ningbo Rockets - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	81:83 OT ✺
29.04.26	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Ningbo Rockets	65:57 ✺
24.04.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	81:104 ✺
20.04.26	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Tianjin Ronggang	96:84 ✺
18.04.26	Liaoning Dinosaurs - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	71:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
20.01.26	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Shenzhen Leopards	90:92
03.01.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	92:82
Chinese CBA Club Cup
05.12.25	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Shenzhen Leopards	110:89
CBA
31.12.24	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Shenzhen Leopards	102:105
27.12.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	101:111
21.03.24	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Shenzhen Leopards	112:86
11.01.24	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	109:100

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