Match Info

B.League

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Shiga Daihatsu Arena (Otsu)


	Shiga Lakestars		Saga Ballooners

	1	2
	2.5	1.5
	2	1.67	Watch
	2.26	1.65
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shiga Lakestars
42.2%

Saga Ballooners
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shiga Lakestars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Saga Ballooners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shiga Lakestars than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saga Ballooners than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Shiga Lakestars - Saga Ballooners Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Auguste Z.	13. Abe R.
4. Kriener R.	23. Dudzinski D.
14. Nishida Y.	22. Groves T.
17. Tsuneta K.	25. Sumida T.
7. Yu A.	18. Uchio S.
Substitutes
25. Ebara S.	55. Harrellson J.
34. Hasegawa H.	7. Hashimoto K.
22. Ichioka S.	34. Inoue R. (C)
2. Iwashita J.	20. Kishida A.
16. Nomoto D. (C)	9. Reed D.
6. Okada T.	11. Takedomi F.
11. Sato L.	21. Tomiyama T.
20. Wimbush T.
Coaches
. Maeda K.	. Miyanaga Y.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shiga won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Shiga will win today's game, with odds of 2.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 532:614. (average 76:87.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shiga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 225:245. (average 75:81.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Shiga Lakestars - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shiga Lakestars
Japan B League Premier
29.03.26	Toyama Grouses - Shiga Lakestars	71:79 ✺
28.03.26	Toyama Grouses - Shiga Lakestars	64:89 ✺
15.03.26	Shiga Lakestars - Utsunomiya Brex	87:93 ✺
14.03.26	Shiga Lakestars - Utsunomiya Brex	83:78 ✺
11.03.26	Shiga Lakestars - Sendai 89ers	81:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWL
- Saga Ballooners
Japan B League Premier
29.03.26	Saga Ballooners - Ibaraki Robots	90:86 ✺
28.03.26	Saga Ballooners - Ibaraki Robots	80:83 ✺
15.03.26	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Saga Ballooners	80:77 ✺
14.03.26	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Saga Ballooners	91:96 ✺
11.03.26	Saga Ballooners - SAN-EN NeoPhoenix	91:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
05.11.25	Saga Ballooners - Shiga Lakestars	77:83
05.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Shiga Lakestars	97:91
04.10.25	Saga Ballooners - Shiga Lakestars	92:68
06.04.25	Shiga Lakestars - Saga Ballooners	77:82
05.04.25	Shiga Lakestars - Saga Ballooners	79:80
19.03.25	Saga Ballooners - Shiga Lakestars	103:65
06.11.24	Shiga Lakestars - Saga Ballooners	69:83

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