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Current Win Probability
Shimane Susanoo Magic 43.5%
Levanga Hokkaido 56.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimane Susanoo Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimane Susanoo Magic's form might have worsened.
Levanga Hokkaido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levanga Hokkaido's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimane Susanoo Magic than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimane Susanoo Magic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levanga Hokkaido than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levanga Hokkaido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Shimane will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:88
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
9. Dennis D.
7. Bolden M.
35. Heath J.
3. Clark G. (C)
4. Kay N. (C)
2. Ramos D.
77. Okada Y.
15. Shimatani R.
20. Ueda S.
30. Tominaga K.
Substitutes
29. Alkhoury M.
21. Harrar J.
5. Arai S.
12. Ichiba S.
75. Inoue S.
8. Kibayashi Y.
11. Nakamura T.
6. Kikuchi H.
21. Nohmi Y.
24. Matsuzaki H.
15. Shirahama R.
18. Naito T.
7. Sukegawa A.
16. Osaki Y.
1. Sekino K.
Coaches
. Bozic P.
. Loibl T.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimane won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Hokkaido has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Shimane has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1431:1367 (averaging 84.2:80.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shimane against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 1130:1052 goals (averaging 86.9:80.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Shimane Susanoo Magic - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.57%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Levanga Hokkaido - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.43%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.