Match Info

NBL - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Shumen (Shumen)

Referee: Petrov P. (Bul)


	Shumen		Minyor

	1	2
	2.03	1.65
	2.04	1.71
	2.59	1.41	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.66)	1.63 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumen
43.3%

Minyor
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shumen's form might have worsened.

Minyor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minyor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumen than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minyor than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minyor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shumen - Minyor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shumen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Minyor will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minyor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Barr J.	12. Bakic F.
44. Lazarov K.	8. Kesar I.
5. Marsh M.	15. Popov V.
7. Mustafa B.	16. Stankovic L.
9. Vuga K.	24. Toshkov L. (C)
Substitutes
10. Denchev M. (C)	5. Bogomirov R.
24. Sazdov A.	88. Grigorov D.
8. Stamov D.	13. Mihaylov A.
88. Stanev V.	23. Murphy M.
15. Varbanov N.	4. Paisiev K.
	2. Talley J.
	11. Valentinov I.
Coaches
. Barchovski R.	. Vukotic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shumen won 0.

Recent form of Shumen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Minyor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Minyor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shumen has had a series of home games.

Recently, Minyor has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shumen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 646:690. (average 80.8:86.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shumen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 211:216. (average 70.3:72).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Shumen	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Minyor	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Shumen
Bulgarian NBL
07.02.26	Shumen - Balkan Botevgrad	83:101 ✺
30.01.26	Shumen - Spartak Pleven	84:64 ✺
17.01.26	Shumen - Botev Academic	78:90 ✺
10.01.26	Shumen - Rilski Sportist	97:105 ✺
03.01.26	Botev 2012 - Shumen	72:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- Minyor Pernik Basketball
Bulgarian NBL
09.02.26	Botev 2012 - Minyor	89:81 ✺
01.02.26	Minyor - Cherno More Port Varna	72:91 ✺
24.01.26	Beroe - Minyor	90:79 ✺
12.01.26	Balkan Botevgrad - Minyor	118:75 ✺
04.01.26	Spartak Pleven - Minyor	90:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
07.12.25	Minyor - Shumen	93:90
01.03.25	Minyor - Shumen	97:90
14.12.24	Minyor - Shumen	101:76
04.10.24	Shumen - Minyor	74:90
06.04.24	Minyor - Shumen	97:87
02.03.24	Shumen - Minyor	67:61
13.01.24	Shumen - Minyor	70:65

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