Match Info

First League - Round 11

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Veliki Park Sports Hall (Uzice)

Referee: Lazukic N. (Srb)


	Sloboda Užice		Metalac Valjevo

	1	2
	1.16	4.3
	1.19	4.07	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.18	3.78
	1.18	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	4.21 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Užice
78.2%

Metalac Valjevo
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Užice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sloboda Užice's performance.

Metalac Valjevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalac Valjevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sloboda Užice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalac Valjevo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalac Valjevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Aksentijevic L.	2. Davis D.
10. Bozic D.	8. Djukanovic D.
7. Jovanovic V.	11. Dragojevic K.
46. Simic S.	9. Koprivica M.
9. Suskavcevic M.	7. Sekularac D.
Substitutes
4. Bogicevic P.	00. Danilovic U.
5. Citic F.	24. Illes L.
16. Colic O.	58. Milin M.
18. Dabovic S.	44. Milutinovic M.
1. Kondic D.	27. Odalovic D.
77. Milosavcevic P.	12. Pajic V.
21. Nelson-Henry D.
Coaches
. Djokic V.	. Pavkovic M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sloboda Užice won 4.

Sloboda Užice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metalac Valjevo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sloboda Užice is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sloboda Užice won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 811:746. (average 90.1:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sloboda Užice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 474:411. (average 94.8:82.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Sloboda Užice
Serbian First League Basketball
06.12.25	Sombor - Sloboda Užice	72:79 ✺
01.12.25	Sloboda Užice - Dynamic	100:85 ✺
24.11.25	Mladost Zemun - Sloboda Užice	89:87 ✺
17.11.25	OKK Beograd - Sloboda Užice	98:105 ✺
08.11.25	Sloboda Užice - Hercegovac Gajdobra	70:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- KK Metalac Valjevo
Serbian First League Basketball
06.12.25	Metalac Valjevo - OKK Beograd	87:96 ✺
29.11.25	Hercegovac Gajdobra - Metalac Valjevo	103:102 OT ✺
22.11.25	Metalac Valjevo - Borac Zemun	97:62 ✺
15.11.25	Čačak 94 - Metalac Valjevo	96:75 ✺
07.11.25	Metalac Valjevo - Sloga Kraljevo	91:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian First League Basketball
25.01.25	Metalac Valjevo - Sloboda Užice	79:85
19.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo	99:71
30.03.24	Metalac Valjevo - Sloboda Užice	84:95
09.12.23	Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo	103:82
04.02.23	Metalac Valjevo - Sloboda Užice	79:69
30.10.22	Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo	96:100 OT (88:88)
02.03.22	Metalac Valjevo - Sloboda Užice	93:88

Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide