Match Info

1. Liga - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: MOSiR Lancut (Lancut)


	Sokol Lancut		Polonia 1912 Leszno

	1	2
	1.14	4.65
	1.27	3.41
	1.13	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	4.25 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Lancut
78.3%

Polonia 1912 Leszno
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Lancut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sokol Lancut's performance.

Polonia 1912 Leszno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia 1912 Leszno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Lancut than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokol Lancut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia 1912 Leszno than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia 1912 Leszno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokol Lancut - Polonia 1912 Leszno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Brek M.	9. Mitchell W.
2. Kaszowski M.	44. Pabian H.
17. Kucharek M.	23. Ryzek S.
31. Milovanovic M.	11. Sanny S.
29. Zegzula F.	33. Zmudzki M.
Substitutes
7. Czempiel M.	91. Janowicz J.
33. Hlebowicki O.	8. Kankowski K.
6. Itrich M.	1. Najder A.
11. Kurek H.	3. Samolak M.
14. Seroka K.	10. Soroka D.
9. Struski F. (C)	0. Wilk P.
10. Wieloch P.	7. Zywert K. (C)
Coaches
. Kaszowski D.	. Jankowiak J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Lancut won 3.

Recent performances by Sokol Lancut have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia 1912 Leszno is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sokol Lancut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sokol Lancut is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sokol Lancut won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 840:853. (average 76.4:77.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Lancut won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 416:413. (average 83.2:82.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PTG Sokol Lancut
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Sokol Lancut - Decka Pelplin	77:70 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Tychy - Sokol Lancut	106:104 ✺
12.10.25	Sokol Lancut - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	61:77 ✺
04.10.25	Miners Katowice - Sokol Lancut	82:94 ✺
01.10.25	Sokol Lancut - Resovia Rzeszów	94:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW
- Polonia 1912 Leszno
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
26.10.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - GKS Tychy	88:67 ✺
18.10.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Polonia 1912 Leszno	101:94 ✺
10.10.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Miners Katowice	51:76 ✺
04.10.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Polonia 1912 Leszno	83:68 ✺
01.10.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań	64:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
29.02.20	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Sokol Lancut	70:80
23.11.19	Sokol Lancut - Polonia 1912 Leszno	87:89
09.03.19	Sokol Lancut - Polonia 1912 Leszno	86:82
01.12.18	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Sokol Lancut	85:74
06.05.18	Sokol Lancut - Polonia 1912 Leszno	87:83
05.05.18	Sokol Lancut - Polonia 1912 Leszno	75:82
29.04.18	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Sokol Lancut	63:83

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