Match Info

POLAND: BASKET LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: MOSiR Lancut (Lancut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Sokol Lancut		Start Lublin

	1	2
	1.91	1.77
	1.91	1.75
	1.93	1.74	Watch
	2.03	1.83
	2	1.73
	1.96	1.79
	2.02	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.35)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Lancut
47.4%

Start Lublin
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Lancut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sokol Lancut's performance.

Start Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Start Lublin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Lancut than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokol Lancut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start Lublin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Sokol Lancut - Start Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sokol Lancut will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lublin will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

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Preview

Sokol Lancut is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lublin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sokol Lancut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lublin have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sokol Lancut won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 317-327.

Including matches at home between the teams Sokol Lancut won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 74-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PTG Sokol Lancut
Polish Basket Liga
14.01.24	Anwil Włocławek - Sokol Lancut	88:71 ✺
07.01.24	Sokol Lancut - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	74:96 ✺
30.12.23	Sokol Lancut - Śląsk Wrocław	84:91 ✺
22.12.23	GTK Gliwice - Sokol Lancut	87:100 ✺
15.12.23	Sokol Lancut - Dąbrowa Górnicza	96:98 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWL
- Start Lublin
ENBL
16.01.24	Bakken Bears - Start Lublin	91:98 ✺
09.01.24	Spartak Pleven - Start Lublin	101:95 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
04.01.24	Toruń - Start Lublin	98:84 ✺
30.12.23	Legia Warsaw - Start Lublin	75:92 ✺
23.12.23	Start Lublin - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	78:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
08.10.23	Start Lublin - Sokol Lancut	99:83
11.03.23	Sokol Lancut - Start Lublin	74:72
04.11.22	Start Lublin - Sokol Lancut	74:83
Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.14	Start Lublin - Sokol Lancut	82:77

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