Match Info

First League - Round 24

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Gradska hala Mostonga (Sombor)

Referee: Lukovic Z. (Srb)


	Sombor		OKK Beograd

	1	2
	3.4	1.26
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.99	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (1.76)	1.37 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sombor
32.2%

OKK Beograd
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sombor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sombor's form might have worsened.

OKK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OKK Beograd's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sombor than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sombor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OKK Beograd than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OKK Beograd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sombor - OKK Beograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bajic M.	15. Backo P.
21. Morgan J.	13. Karalic N.
11. Rnic V.	17. Nikolic O.
3. Suput M.	44. Radojicic V.
8. Suput U.	8. Vojinovic A.
Substitutes
36. Bogdanovic M.	3. Djuric A.
4. Gregorinski S.	10. Ivanovic L.
12. Jovovic V.	23. Kontic V.
5. Lukic M.	7. Lucic A.
24. Mijic U.	11. Milutinovic M.
16. Miskovic S.	14. Musikic V.
31. Zeljkovic V.	28. Paunovic L.
Coaches
. Kisic R.	. Vidosavljevic M.

Preview

Recent performances by Sombor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OKK Beograd is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sombor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 417:447. (average 83.4:89.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sombor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 168:152. (average 84:76).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	OKK Beograd	1	0	1	88:90	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sombor BC
Serbian First League Basketball
07.03.26	Hercegovac Gajdobra - Sombor	109:75 ✺
28.02.26	Sombor - Borac Zemun	82:95 ✺
15.02.26	Čačak 94 - Sombor	80:83 ✺
11.02.26	Sombor - Sloga Kraljevo	91:71 ✺
06.02.26	Zlatibor Čajetina - Sombor	86:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWL
- OKK Beograd
Serbian First League Basketball
09.03.26	OKK Beograd - Dynamic	112:113 ✺
28.02.26	Sloboda Užice - OKK Beograd	89:67 ✺
Serbian Korac Cup
19.02.26	Mega Basket - OKK Beograd	100:79 ✺
Serbian First League Basketball
15.02.26	OKK Beograd - Mladost Zemun	86:95 ✺
11.02.26	OKK Beograd - Hercegovac Gajdobra	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian First League Basketball
01.12.25	OKK Beograd - Sombor	104:89
26.02.25	OKK Beograd - Sombor	99:82
08.11.24	Sombor - OKK Beograd	90:66
03.02.24	Sombor - OKK Beograd	78:86
29.10.23	OKK Beograd - Sombor	92:78

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