Match Info
NBL1 NorthDate: 27 June 2025, Friday
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South West Metro Pirates |
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Townsville Heat |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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1.98 |
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1.75 |
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 |
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Watch |
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2.11 |
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1.67 |
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 |
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Watch |
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1.83 |
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1.83 |
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 |
2.15 |
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1.65 |
Watch |
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1.9 |
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1.69 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.9) |
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1.72 ↑
(1.69) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South West Metro Pirates
46.3% | Townsville Heat
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South West Metro Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Townsville Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South West Metro Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Townsville Heat than the current prediction. (-2.1%)South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:92 
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Preview
Recent form of South West Metro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Townsville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Townsville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, South West Metro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 334:342. (average 83.5:85.5).Including home matches between the teams, South West Metro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 149:160. (average 74.5:80).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 North | | | 22.06.24 | Townsville Heat - South West Metro Pirates | 92:91 | | 20.05.23 | South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat | 81:71 | | 13.05.22 | Townsville Heat - South West Metro Pirates | 90:94 OT (83:83) | | 30.07.21 | South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat | 68:89 |
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