Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA Europe Cup - Second stage - Round 3

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Dome Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Kounelles I. (Cyp)


	Spirou Charleroi		Ludwigsburg

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.34
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.02	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.14	1.34
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.15)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spirou Charleroi
30%

Ludwigsburg
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spirou Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spirou Charleroi's form might have worsened.

Ludwigsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludwigsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spirou Charleroi than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spirou Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludwigsburg than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludwigsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Spirou Charleroi - Ludwigsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Spirou Charleroi will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Brandwijk W.	15. Manjon E.
8. Knudsen G.	2. Patrick J.
11. Minchev Y.	13. Polas Bartolo Y. (C)
17. Pintelon X.	1. Scott J.
5. Polet A.	5. Simon J.
Substitutes
7. Adzeh C.	12. Anigbata L.
12. Bilolo Katuala M.	31. Grady K.
47. Izaw Bolavie A.	6. Patrick J.
1. Menth F.	21. Pleta D.
22. Smout Q. (C)	24. Tischler B.
	7. Williams D.
	18. Wohlfarth-Bottermann J.
Coaches
. Rotsaert S.	. Patrick J.

Preview

Spirou is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ludwigsburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ludwigsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ludwigsburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Spirou to win the game is with odds 3.02.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Spirou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 144:184 (average 72:92).

Including matches at home between the teams Spirou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 78:96

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spirou Charleroi
Belgian Cup Basketball
05.01.25	Oostende - Spirou Charleroi	80:83 ✺
03.01.25	Spirou Charleroi - Oostende	68:89 ✺
BNXT League
26.12.24	Brussels - Spirou Charleroi	59:71 ✺
Belgian Cup Basketball
20.12.24	SKT Ieper - Spirou Charleroi	63:72 ✺
BNXT League
17.12.24	Spirou Charleroi - Limburg United	85:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WLWWW
- BG Ludwigsburg
German BBL
05.01.25	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Ludwigsburg	70:64 ✺
30.12.24	Ludwigsburg - Heidelberg	63:67 ✺
26.12.24	Ludwigsburg - Skyliners Frankfurt	82:61 ✺
21.12.24	BCJ Hamburg - Ludwigsburg	66:73 ✺
18.12.24	Mitteldeutscher - Ludwigsburg	76:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
04.01.17	Ludwigsburg - Spirou Charleroi	88:66
09.11.16	Spirou Charleroi - Ludwigsburg	78:96

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