Match Info

LFB Women - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Imortal

	1	2
	1.55	2.2
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
58.1%

Imortal
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Imortal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Sporting Lisbon - Imortal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:71

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Costa S.	14. Akullu M.
20. Ferreira E. (C)	1. Kelly M.
11. Huff E.	12. Lalic N.
21. Rouse D.	8. Thatha A.
15. Serranho L.	13. Vargas M.
Substitutes
14. Almeida C.	4. Freitas C.
3. Carvalho M.	5. Neves C. (C)
16. Chainho R.	28. Oliveira B.
13. Costa M.	41. Rijal S.
10. Kostourkova M.	24. Semedo L.
9. Martins C.	11. Silva M.
19. Urbano A.
Coaches
. Vieira J.	. Cerdeira A.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 135:155. (average 67.5:77.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:79.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Sporting CP W	1	0	1	63:75	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Basketball Women
Portuguese LFB
19.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Quinta Dos Lombos	64:67 ✺
14.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Sanjoanense	69:67 OT ✺
08.12.25	Coimbrões - Sporting Lisbon	77:68 ✺
06.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Barcelos	74:64 ✺
03.12.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	74:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Imortal Basket Women
Portuguese LFB
28.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Imortal	76:72 ✺
21.12.25	Imortal - Madeira	73:53 ✺
14.12.25	Imortal - Quinta Dos Lombos	74:87 ✺
08.12.25	Sanjoanense - Imortal	80:90 ✺
06.12.25	Imortal - Coimbrões	104:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
19.10.25	Imortal - Sporting Lisbon	76:62
Club Friendly Basketball Women
28.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Imortal	73:79

Upcoming Matches