Match Info

1. Liga - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Hala Miejska (Stargard)

Referee: Chmielewski A. (Pol)


	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński		Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański

	1	2
	1.7	1.96	Watch
	1.72	2.05
			Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	1.99 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
53.6%

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński's performance.

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Czerlonko W.	77. Adamczyk A.
9. Karolak J.	35. Jeszke D.
8. Kopycki P.	2. Komenda R.
12. Mokros J.	47. Kordalski A.
10. Wadowski I.	3. Majewski B. (C)
Substitutes
1. Goralski B.	15. Bartosz M.
4. Gromovs I.	4. Gorka M.
3. Hensler M.	7. Kowalczyk S.
46. Jech A.	23. Sitnik M.
11. Kikowski P. (C)
7. Rajewicz W.
2. Wojdak J.
Coaches
. Popiolek M.	. Radulovic D.

Preview

KS Spojnia Stargard leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spójnia won 5.

In recent matches, Spójnia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kociewskie Diabły is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kociewskie Diabły may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spójnia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 902:843. (average 82:76.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Spójnia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 377:335. (average 75.4:67).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Spojnia Stargard	3	3	0	270:254	6
10	Starogard Gdanski	3	1	2	261:280	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	94:102 ✺
08.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	101:85 ✺
03.05.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - ŁKS Łódź	71:107 ✺
02.05.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - ŁKS Łódź	66:95 ✺
29.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	93:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW
- Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	94:102 ✺
10.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	70:72 ✺
09.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	103:82 ✺
03.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	68:62 ✺
02.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	101:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	94:102
14.03.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	80:83
24.11.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	92:83
Polish Basket Liga
16.03.21	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	93:106
22.11.20	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	71:60
19.01.20	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	92:71
07.10.19	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	75:80

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