Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		GTK Gliwice

	1	2
	1.22	3.9
	1.32	2.95
	1.31	3.51
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.22	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	3.55 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
73.7%

GTK Gliwice
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

GTK Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Start Lublin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GTK Gliwice than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GTK Gliwice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lublin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gliwice will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Wright J.	30. Pisla K.
25. Griffin B.	6. Almeida I.
12. Ford Q.	24. Gordon W.
2. O'Reilly L.	10. Oguine M.
3. Ramey C.	7. Gordon K. (C)
Substitutes
33. Frankamp C.	8. Bender M.
8. Kepka W.	34. Jodlowski M.
0. Krasuski M.	77. Losiak P.
32. Mazek P.	66. Misztal K.
7. Pelczar B.
21. Put F. (C)
5. Turewicz M.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Vidic N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 3.

Lublin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gliwice is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gliwice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lublin has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lublin is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1477:1442. (average 82.1:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 813:752. (average 81.3:75.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Lublin	1	0	1	79:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
18.04.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Start Lublin	81:86 ✺
11.04.26	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	103:97 OT ✺
04.04.26	Dziki Warszawa - Start Lublin	103:72 ✺
29.03.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Start Lublin	98:91 OT ✺
19.03.26	Zielona Góra - Start Lublin	76:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL
- GTK Gliwice
Polish Basket Liga
18.04.26	Legia Warsaw - GTK Gliwice	93:66 ✺
12.04.26	GTK Gliwice - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	86:93 ✺
03.04.26	GTK Gliwice - Dąbrowa Górnicza	80:90 ✺
27.03.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - GTK Gliwice	76:59 ✺
21.03.26	MOSiR Krosno - GTK Gliwice	88:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
27.12.25	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	95:93
01.03.25	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	91:74
24.10.24	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	110:105 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.24	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	78:73
Polish Basket Liga
02.02.24	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	83:86
21.10.23	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	100:93
20.01.23	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	79:68

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