Match Info

Divizia A - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mihai Viteazul Bucuresti (Bucharest)


	Steaua București		Târgu Mureş

	1	2
	3.75	1.21
	2.73	1.35
	1.95	1.69	Watch
	3.93	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.12)	1.37 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steaua București
30.7%

Târgu Mureş
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steaua București has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Steaua București's form might have worsened.

Târgu Mureş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Târgu Mureş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steaua București than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Steaua București, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Târgu Mureş than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Târgu Mureş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Steaua București - Târgu Mureş Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Târgu Mureş (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Târgu Mureş will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Târgu Mureş will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Steaua (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Târgu Mureş (votes: 15 - 78.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Adelekun D.	33. Corpodean V.
26. Andries A.	4. Diggs T.
5. Balan V.	7. Martinic G.
9. Stan A. (C)	10. Santa S. (C)
10. Vlad G. A.	12. Scott M.
Substitutes
15. Diaconescu L.	3. Bodo T.
22. Ionescu S.	11. Borsa I.
30. Lucaci M.	77. Kiss R.
29. Matei A.	1. Major F.
7. Popescu P.	13. Popa B.
17. Sparlac V.	20. Reljic P.
4. Stan A.	23. Sampson T. L.
Coaches
. Mandache A.	. Farago P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Steaua won 3.

Steaua has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Târgu Mureş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Târgu Mureş has had a series of away games.

Târgu Mureş might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Steaua won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1658:1622. (average 82.9:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Steaua won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 898:867. (average 81.6:78.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Steaua București Basketball
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
18.10.25	SCM Timișoara - Steaua București	94:91 ✺
11.10.25	Steaua București - SCM CSU Craiova	84:77 ✺
08.10.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Steaua București	80:68 ✺
04.10.25	Steaua București - Argeș Pitești	62:76 ✺
01.10.25	Corona Brașov - Steaua București	91:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLL
- CSM Târgu Mureş Basketball
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
20.10.25	Târgu Mureş - CSU Sibiu	76:96 ✺
11.10.25	Petrolul Ploiești - Târgu Mureş	86:97 ✺
08.10.25	SCM Timișoara - Târgu Mureş	89:95 ✺
01.10.25	Rapid Bucureşti - Târgu Mureş	87:69 ✺
Romanian Cup Basketball
27.09.25	SCM Timișoara - Târgu Mureş	93:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Divizia A Basketball
22.03.25	Steaua București - Târgu Mureş	103:80
18.11.24	Târgu Mureş - Steaua București	96:94
06.04.23	Steaua București - Târgu Mureş	91:80
10.03.23	Târgu Mureş - Steaua București	99:82
15.01.18	Târgu Mureş - Steaua București	55:80
21.10.17	Steaua București - Târgu Mureş	85:70
04.02.17	Târgu Mureş - Steaua București	87:93 OT (78:78)

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